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Oscar Predictions 2017

 

Oscar Predictions 2017

Your Guide to the Academy Awards

by Kam Williams

 

Will La La Land make history by eclipsing the record of 11 Academy Awards? Damien Chazelle’s magical homage to the Hollywood musical definitely has a decent shot. After all, it’s a lock to win in 5 categories: Best Picture, Director, Score, Oscar Predictions 2017Original Song, and Sound Mixing. And it ‘s the heavy favorite in another 5: Lead Actress, Cinematography, Costume Design, Production Design and Film Editing.

That leaves Sound Editing, Original Screenplay and Lead Actor. La La’s best shot at tying the record will be by beating the World War II epic, Hacksaw Ridge in Sound Editing.

If successful there, it has two paths to 12. Unfortunately, Ryan Gosling is unlikely to win for Lead Actor because he’s up against some very stiff competition in Casey Affleck and Denzel Washington. That leaves Original Screenplay where Manchester by the Sea has the advantage by virtue of its being a super-realistic drama as opposed to an escapist musical fantasy.

Nevertheless, I’m optimistic that the Academy voters will pull the lever for the very-deserving La La Land a record-breaking dozen times.    

The Envelope Please

Who Will Win, Who Deserves to Win, Who Was Snubbed

           

Best Picture     

Will Win: La La Land

Deserves to Win: La La Land

Overlooked: Deadpool

Best Director

Will Win: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)

Deserves to Win: Damien Chazelle

Overlooked: Denzel Washington (Fences) and Theodore Melfi (Hidden Figures)

Comment : Wunderkind Damien Chazelle, at 32, becomes the youngest Best Director winner in history.

Best Actor

Will Win: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)

Deserves to Win: Casey Affleck 

Overlooked: Ryan Reynolds (Deadpool)

Comment: Denzel Washington might upset Affleck, if the Academy decides to overcompensate for its complete snubbing of minority actors the last two years. And Ryan Gosling has a puncher’s chance of prevailing if La La Land’s sweep turns out to be a record-breaking tsunami.   

Best Actress

Will Win: Emma Stone (La La Land)

Deserves to Win: Emma Stone

Overlooked: Amy Adams (Arrival) and Annette Bening (20th Century Women)

Comment: Stone is a shoo-in for three reasons. First, Viola Davis opted to compete in the Supporting Actress category. Second, it was an off-year for perennial-nominee Meryl Streep whose performance in Florence Foster Jenkins was undeserving. Third, Amy Adams wasn’t even nominated. Fourth, Emma’s the only Lead Actress nominee whose movie was also nominated for Best Picture.

Best Supporting Actor

Will Win: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)

Deserves to Win: Mahershala Ali

Overlooked: Andre Holland (Moonlight) and John (La La Land)

Comment: 2016 was a breakout year for Mahershala Ali who was only on screen in Moonlight for about 20 minutes. But he always cuts such a mesmerizing presence that he could have just as easily been nominated for Hidden Figures, Kicks or Free State of Jones. 

Best Supporting Actress

Will Win: Viola Davis (Fences)

Deserves to Win: Viola Davis

Overlooked: Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women) and Janelle Monae (Moonlight)

Comment: Viola Davis finally gets the Oscar she deserved for The Help. This go-round, she strategically avoided a head-to-head showdown with Meryl Streep by downsizing her starring role into a support performance. 

Best Original Screenplay

Will Win: La La Land

Deserves to Win: La La Land

Overlooked: Loving

Comment: La La Land manages to squeak by Manchester by the Sea, a critical win on an historic night.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Win: Moonlight

Deserves to Win: Moonlight

Overlooked: Deadpool

Question: Why was Moonlight nominated for the Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar, but nominated in the Best Original Screenplay category by both the British Academy and the Writers Guild of America?

Predictions for the Balance of the Categories

Animated Feature: Zootopia

Foreign Language Film: Toni Erdmann

Documentary Feature: 13th

Cinematography: La La Land

Costume Design: La La Land

Production Design: La La Land

Film Editing: La La Land

Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond

Original Score: La La Land

Best Song: La La Land (“City of Stars”)

Sound Editing: La La Land

Sound Mixing: La La Land

Visual Effects: The Jungle Book

Animated Short: Piper

Documentary Short: Extremis

Live-Action Short: Ennemis Interieurs

The Envelope Please, Who Will Win, Who Deserves to Win, Who Was Snubbed, Your Guide to the Academy Awards

Source:  GIG News

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